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    Home»Business»Gold steadies as soft US inflation, Iran war risks cloud US Fed rate outlook
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    Gold steadies as soft US inflation, Iran war risks cloud US Fed rate outlook

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    Trump has pledged to intensify bombardment until Teheran stops attacking ships and opens Hormuz

    Published Thu, Jul 16, 2026 · 08:30 AM — Updated Thu, Jul 16, 2026 · 12:06 PM

    [SINGAPORE] Gold steadied, as traders weighed softer-than-expected inflation data against escalating attacks in the Middle East for clues to the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.

    Bullion was near US$4,060 an ounce in early trading on Thursday (Jul 16), after ending the previous session up 0.2 per cent.

    The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index and Treasury yields fell on Wednesday after an underlying gauge of US producer price inflation showed pressures were abating before the latest flare-up in the Iran war.

    The June numbers, however, did not reflect the latest round of hostilities.

    An interim peace deal signed in June has all but collapsed, with Washington launching airstrikes for a fifth consecutive day and President Donald Trump pledging to intensify the bombardment until Teheran stops attacking ships and opens the Strait of Hormuz.

    Gold has traded close to US$4,000 an ounce in recent weeks after losing 14 per cent in the second quarter of 2026, its worst showing since 2013. That retreat was driven by expectations the US Fed could hike interest rates to manage inflationary pressures driven by the war, creating headwinds for non-yielding bullion.

    The unexpectedly sharp slowdown in June inflation has perhaps bought the US central bank more time to consider its options. However, with the conflict heating up again, any reprieve may prove short-lived. Oil climbed for a fourth day on Thursday.

    US Fed chairman Kevin Warsh has made it clear that rates are among the options to keep inflation within a promised 2 per cent target but has tempered hawkish comments with a willingness to be patient.

    In an exchange with lawmakers on Wednesday, he pushed back on commentary that surging investment into artificial intelligence is stoking inflation.

    SEE ALSO

    Global benchmark Brent traded below US$85 a barrel after gaining 12% in the previous three sessions, while West Texas Intermediate was under US$80.
    All three major US indices closed higher on Wednesday.

    Spot gold was 0.1 per cent lower at US$4,057.05 an ounce as at 7.49 am in Singapore. Silver was steady at US$57.78 an ounce. Platinum and palladium edged lower.

    The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was flat after dropping 0.3 per cent in the previous session. BLOOMBERG

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