UCLA did the unthinkable.
A week after losing a thriller to Oregon in overtime, James Franklin & Co. lost to an 0-4 UCLA team. The Bruins fired head coach Deshaun Foster three games into the season, and named former Fresno State head coach Tim Skipper as the interim.
The Bruins entered as a 24.5-point underdog, with +1300 odds to win. Prior to today, there had been four teams all-time to have been 0-4 or worse and beat an AP top 10 team:
- UTEP (0-6) beats No. 7 BYU in 1985
- Tulane (0-4) beats No. 6 Navy in 1958
- Purdue (0-4) beats No. 2 Michigan State in 1953
- Pittsburgh (0-5) beats No. 3 Fordham in 1941
Below we’ve further broken down just how historic this upset is, from both a statistical and odds perspective. Let’s take a look:
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- Entering today, UCLA had lost 16 games in a row vs AP top 10 opponents; their last such win came in 2010 vs Texas— in that game, the Bruins completed 5-of-9 passes (Johnathan Franklin had 19 rushes for 118 yards).
- Teams that were 0-4 entered the day 0-24 vs AP top 10 opponents since 1978.
- Entering today, teams that closed as 24+ point underdogs were 28-144-2 (W-L-T) against AP top 10 teams since 1978.
- Entering today, teams that were 24+ point underdogs were 6-244-1 against Big Ten teams ranked in the AP top 10 since 1978.
- Penn State is now 1-17 under James Franklin when trailing by 20+ points, the lone win coming in the 2016 Big Ten Championship game vs Wisconsin (down 28-7, won 38-31).
- UCLA was the only FBS team never to lead in a game this season entering today.
- Entering today, Nico Iamaleava’s career high in rush yards was 65; he finished the day with 128.
- Nico Iamaleava was responsible for 5 TDs (3 rush, 2 pass) for the first time in his career.
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